CASE · 01
Prediction operator · EU
Outcome
Mean time to detection reduced from hours to minutes across 14 markets.
Service · Prediction
Prediction & market integration
We connect prediction platforms into a single control plane with end-to-end integrity validation, market telemetry, and auditable trails regulators can follow.
Why it matters
Prediction markets live on trust. Any delay, inconsistency, or manipulation compromises the signal of the entire product, and in regulated operations, it becomes license risk.
Operators need real-time telemetry, consistency rules, and an immutable record to sustain any review. Without that, every anomaly becomes an artisanal investigation.
What's included
- Certified connectors for market data providers
- Ingestion pipeline with schema validation and signing
- Consistency rules across providers and order books
- Price and volume divergence detection per event
- Hop-level latency monitoring with automated alerts
- Immutable settlement record with hash chaining
- Operational dashboard with events, alerts, and acknowledgment
- Evidence export and regulatory reporting
Detection coverage
- Cross-provider price divergence
Simultaneous deviations above configurable thresholds fire an alert with a book snapshot.
- Anomalous volume per window
Volume spikes compared against a 7-day rolling baseline per market and event.
- Operator repetition patterns
Suspicious clusters of repeated orders across multiple accounts or devices.
- Liquidity inversion
Abrupt withdrawal of limit orders seconds before critical events.
- Feed lag
Hop-level measurement with stall detection and failover to a secondary provider.
- Settlement mismatch
Inconsistency between official result, closed book, and declared payout.
How we implement
Discovery
We map providers, data contracts, and regulatory requirements per jurisdiction.
Control plane design
We define rules, thresholds, and ownership for each signal with the operations team.
Phased integration
We wire providers in shadow, validate parity, and promote after sign-off.
Assisted operation
We ride along for the first 60 days with runbooks and weekly reviews.
Handover
We deliver documentation, training, and a continuous support model.
Evidence package
Every deployment produces an evidence package with architecture, controls, log samples, and mapping to applicable frameworks.
Questions
Frequently asked
How long does prediction-market integration take?
First evidence package and ingest pipeline ready within 4-6 weeks. Full cross-provider consistency rules and divergence detection live within 8-12 weeks, depending on provider count and market volume.Which prediction-market data providers do you support?
We ship certified connectors for the major regulated providers used in EU and LATAM operations. Schema validation and signing happen on ingest; new providers are onboarded in two-week sprints.Is the immutable settlement record auditor-ready?
Yes. Every settlement is hashed, signed, and chained; the evidence package maps each settlement back to its market source, divergence checks, and reviewer chain. Output is acceptable to ISO 27001, SOC 2, and EU prediction-market regulators.
Related cases
CASE · 02
Regional integrator · LATAM
Outcome
Regulatory evidence delivered in two weeks with zero operational downtime.
Ready to review the evidence?
Send scope and jurisdictions and we'll return in 48 hours with the applicable package.